NBA Basketball Pick 11-27-09

I have two NBA picks for 11-27-09. The first one is:

NBA – San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets – 8:35 p.m. ET

Bet: #716 Houston Rockets +1

 Houston has alternated wins and losses this entire month, so you know what’s next after losing to Dallas. Seriously though, it’s not that pattern that has me on Houston, although I do find it interesting. The Rockets came off a 3-day layoff and got pounded by 31 points at home at the hands of state-rival Dallas. But Houston hasn’t performed well with long rest this season, so it wasn’t a complete surprise to me. The Mavs shot a ridiculous 65.5% from the floor in that game, so the blowout was inevitable. Houston has two other double-digit ATS losses this season. They won and covered both games that followed, including an upset win over the Lakers in LA. The Spurs have played well in recent games, but those were home games. San Antonio is 0-4 on the road this season, shooting just 41.8% in those contests. The Rockets are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. I have to back the Rockets at home off an embarrassing home loss, and playing against an 0-4 road team. This is Houston’s chance to erase the memory of an embarrassing home loss to one state rival by beating another. I expect them to respond. Take Houston.

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